Monday, December 05, 2011

TURKEY 2000-2100

TURKEY 2000-2100

Ackknowledge: Adaptation from ‘www .2100.org/odysseytableau40.html’.

Dates

2000-2020

2021-2040

2041-2060

2061-2080

2081-2100

General Concept

Last Interregnum

(2010-2015)

2nd Republic

(2023)

2nd Industrialization

(2050)

Imperialism

(2075)

> Global > Local Power (2095)

Number

70-90 M

1 M births

500 K deaths

90-105 M

1 M

700 K

105-120 M

1 M

800 K

120-130 M

1 M

900 K

130-135 M

1M

1 M

Population

% 60 urban

% 5-8 > 65 ages

Divorce / marriage = % 10

% 70 urban

3-5 M outgoing

3-5 M incoming

% 8-11 > 65

D / m = % 15

% 75 urban

% 11-14 > 65

D / m = % 25

% 80 urban

% 14-17 > 65

D / m = % 40

% 85 urban

% 17-20 > 65

D / m = % 55

Health

% 40 insured

100-400 $ expense

100 K doctors

67-70 ages

% 45

400-800 $

150 K

70-73 ages

% 50

800-1.200 $

225 K

73-76 ages

% 55

1.200-1.500 $

350 K

76-79 ages

% 60

1.500-2.000 $

500 K

79-82 ages

Urbanization

3 metropols % 40

> 1 M populations

10 cities

% 45

15

% 50

20

% 50

25

% 50

30

Transportation

10 M cars

% 90 mass

% 80 road, abroad

% 10 train

% 5 air

% 5 sea

20 M

% 90

% 75

% 10

% 10

% 5

30 M

% 90

% 65

% 15

% 15

% 5

35 M

% 90

% 60

% 15

% 20

% 5

35 M

% 90

% 60

% 15

% 20

% 5

Environment

Agriculture

Livestock

% 20 irrigation

% 25 agriculture land

% 5 genetic manipul.

% 5 consumptio. imp.

% 25-30 forest

10 Kkg meat consum.

% 25 irrigation

% 30

% 10

% 10

% 30-35 forest

20 K

% 30 irrigation

% 35

% 15

% 15

% 35-40 forest

40 K

% 35 irrigation

% 40

% 20

% 20

% 40-40 forest

80 K

% 40 irrigation

% 45

% 25

% 25

% 40-40 forest

120 K

Commerce

Industry

300-600 G$ GNP

Growing % 5 / year

Per capita 3-5 K$

100 robots

45-40 working hours

5-10 M retired

600-1.000

% 4

5-8

10 K robots

40-40

10-20 M

1.000-1.500

% 7

8-10

100 K robots

40-35

20-35 M

1.500-2.000

% 8

10-15

1 M robots

35-30

35-40 M

2.000-2.500

% 10

15-20

10 M robots

30-25

40-40 M

Work Force

(> 15 ages)

(M people)

Civil servants = 3 M

Workers = 8 M

Farmers = 20 M

Craftsman = 4 M

Street vendor = 3 M

Retired = 5 M

Apprentice = 4 M

Employer = 10 K

4 M

9

20-15

5 M

2 M

6 M

5 M

20 K

4 M

10

15-15

7 M

1 M

8 M

5 M

40 K

5 M

12

15-15

9 M

1 M

10 M

3 M

80 K

5 M

13

15-20

10 M

1 M

12 M

3 M

160 K

Energy

Raw Material

Petroleum

Electricity

Ores like borax

Vegetable oil and alcohol

Vegetable oil and alcohol

Nuclear reactor (?)

Vegetable oil and alcohol

Nuclear reactor

Vegetable oil and alcohol

Nuclear reactor

Communication

30 M cellphones

15 M telephones

3 M internet users

40 M

20 M

10 M

50 M

25 M

20

60 M

30 M

40 M

70 M

35 M

50 M

Finance

300-500 G$ debt

Sometimes crisis

100-200 G$ import

100-200 G$ saving

10-8G$fromGermany

15-30 G$ tourism

500-600 G$

200-400 G$ import

200-400 G$

8-6 G$

30-90 G$

600-800 G$

400-800 G$ import

400-900 G$

6-4 G$

90-50 G$

800-1.000 G$

Possible concardato

800-1.500 G$ imp.

900-2.000 G$

4-2 G$

50-50 G$

1.000-1.200 G$

1.500 G$ import

2-4 K G$

2-0 G$

50-50 G$


Household

Spends

% 40 food

% 20 house

% 15 clothe

% 10 transportation

% 5 others

% 0 cultural

% 35 food

% 20 house

% 20 clothe

% 20 others

% 5 health

% 0 cultural

% 30 food

% 25 clothe

% 20 house

% 15 others

% 10 health

% 0 cultural

% 25 food

% 25 clothe

% 20 house

% 15 health

% 10 others

% 5 cultural

% 25 clothe

% 20 food

% 20 house

% 15 health

% 10 others

% 10 cultural

External

Conflicts

Kurd

Iraq

Cyprus

Atomic bomb

Turkish satellite

Kurd

EU membership

Conflict with USA

Turkish airplane

Kurd

Annexation Azerbaijan

+ Acaristan

Turkish space ship

Black Sea

Caucasus

Balkans

New unions

Possible war with every country

Turkish space colony

Internal

Conflicts

Unemployment

Working hours

Nationalism

Ethnicism

Unemployment

Working hours

Nationalism

Ethnicism

Unemployment

Working hours

Passivism

Unemployment

Working hours

Unemployment

Working hours

Education

Literacy = % 70

Average 5 years

200 K teachers

University % 10

University = 80-90

2 K libraries

20-25 K books/year

% 75

6

400 K

% 15

90-105

2,5 K

25-30 K

% 80

7

800 K

% 20

105-120

3,5 K

30-40 K

% 85

9

1,5 M

% 25

120-140

7 K

40-60 K

% 90

11

3 M

% 30

140-170

10 K

60-65 K

Religion

% 10 laicist

% 10-15 atheist

% 10 Alevi

% 69-64 Sunni

% 1 others

% 10

% 15-20

% 10

% 64-60

% 0 asimilation

% 10

% 20-25

% 10

% 60-55

% 10

% 25-30

% 10

% 55-50

% 10

% 30

% 10

% 50

Culture

% 40 feudal

% 55 urban

% 5 knowledge____

Working = 40 hours

Retirement age = 60

Compulsory = 8 yrs.

2nd language = 1 M

% 30

% 60

% 10

35 hours

65

8

2 M

% 20

% 65

% 15

30 hours

70

11

4 M

% 10

% 70

% 20

25 hours

75

11

8 M

% 10

% 65

% 25

20 hours

75

11

16 M

Crime

100-300K registered

100-300K unregist.

100 K mafia

100 G$ drugrevenue

65 K convicted

600-1.000 K regis.

200 K mafia

200 G$

130 K

1-1,5 M registered

400 K mafia

400 G$ 2050 crisis

250 K

1,-2 M registered

800 K mafia

500 G$

500 K

2-2,5 M registered

1,5 M mafia

600 G$

1 M

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